Asian Cup: Match-fixing being monitored

Swiss-based Sportradar and partner Asian Football Confederation (AFC) are tasked with keeping an eye out for unusual betting patterns once the tournament starts

Bribes are often offered to players to throw matches in the smaller teams due to them being paid far less than the more favoured better paid sides.

In a chat with AFP, betting industry expert Scott Ferguson said that there were always risks with underpaid players. 

"Any time you have meaningless matches, pool games where the result means nothing, or teams where the players are poorly rewarded… there is a risk," he told AFP

Ferguson, who runs the Sport is Made for Betting website, feels that the risk of match-fixing at the Asian Cup was "fairly low" due to the anti-corruption monitors that are in place in Australia.

"Shock results do actually happen; given a large enough sample size. It's only in recent years we ponder if there was anything suspicious behind it," Ferguson tells AFP.

"Highly sophisticated logarithmic models derive most betting markets these days," he adds. 

"There will always be room for human adjustment on top of that… but particularly in-play, the models will accurately predict what each team's respective chances are. 

"When markets deviate from this and heavy monetary support continues to force prices further away from numbers derived from databases of tens of thousands of matches, alarm bells ring," he adds.